JUCELINO
NOBREGA DA LUZ HAS PREDICTED ABOUT THE NEW
TAIWAN PRESIDENT VICTORY ON ELECTIONS OF 2008
AND 2012.
(
AS IMAGESN FORAM RETIRADAS DO SITE DE BUSCA
PÚBLICA DO GOOGLE )
The President of
the Republic of China (traditional Chinese:
中華民國總統; simplified Chinese: 中华民国总统; pinyin:
Zhōnghuá Mínguó Zǒngtǒng) is the head of state
and commander-in-chief of the Republic of China
(ROC). The Republic of China was founded on
January 1, 1912, to govern all of China. As a
consequence of the World War II and the Chinese
Civil War, however, the ROC lost control of
mainland China to the Chinese communist party
which founded the People's Republic of China (PRC)
while gaining and maintaining control of Taiwan,
Penghu, Kinmen, Matsu,and other islands. The
People's Republic of China (PRC) has repeatedly
attempted to claim Taiwan as its own territory
and refuses to recognize its government and
president. In response, this claim is rejected
by the government of the Republic of China,
which views itself as an independent sovereign
country and equally refuses to recognize the
existence of the mainland People's Republic of
China (PRC). When the Republic of China was
founded in 1912, Sun Yat-sen was elected as the
first "provisional president" (臨時大總統) by the
provisional Senate, ending thousands of years of
imperial rule in China. Sun Yat-sen soon
resigned from the office in favor of Yuan Shikai,
who formally assumed the office of "President"
(大總統, literally "Great President", in contrast
with the omission of 'great' in the current
title) in 1913. The 1913 Constitution called for
a strong presidential system with notable checks
on the president by the National Assembly.
However, Yuan soon began to assert dictatorial
power, ignoring the National Assembly and later
abolishing it altogether. In 1915, Yuan
proclaimed himself Emperor of China in a largely
unpopular move and was forced to retract his
declaration shortly before his death in 1916.
With Yuan Shikai's
death the Warlord Era began. Vice President Li
Yuanhong succeeded Yuan as president and
attempted to reassert the constitutional
government, but was soon forced to resign by
military strongmen. The presidency, though
leading an internationally recognized government,
was thereafter to be headed by a series of
prominent warlords. This presidency ended in
1928 when the Northern Expedition, led by the
Kuomintang (KMT) , succeeded in conquering North
China.
Sun
Yat-sen established a rival (military, not
constitutional) government in Guangzhou in 1917
and took the title of "Generalissimo of the
Military Government" (海陸軍大元帥, literally "grand
marshal of the navy and army"). He was ousted in
1918 but returned again to Guangzhou in 1921.
Claiming to restore the Provisional Constitution
of the Republic of China, he summoned the
members of the original parliament to elect him
as president, but since there lacked a quorum,
he took the title of "Extraordinary President"
(非常大總統). Sun, again expelled from Guangzhou in
1922, returned in 1923 to take the title of "Generalissimo
of the Military Government." Sun died in 1925
with no clear successor and leadership of the
government, now named the Nationalist Government,
rested in a series of Leninist-style dual party
and state committees, the most powerful of which
was the policy-making Central Executive
Committee of the Kuomintang. The government was
organized into five branches, with the Executive
Yuan, headed by the premier, holding primary
administrative authority. The "Chairman of the
Nationalist Government," though not given
specific presidential powers, took on the
functions of a de facto head of state and its
official English translation was "President of
the National Government of the Republic of
China". This form of government under the KMT
lasted through the Northern Expedition, which
moved the capital to Nanjing and gave the
Nationalist Government domestic control and
foreign recognition, and the Second Sino-
Japanese War, during which the Japanese
established puppet Nationalist Governments with
almost the identical organizational structure,
until the promulgation of a new Constitution in
1947.
Following
the Chinese victory in the Second Sino-Japanese
War, the Nationalist Government under Chiang
Kai-shek was restored in Nanjing and the KMT set
out to enact a liberal democratic Constitution
in line with the last stage of Sun Yat-sen's
three stages of national development. The new
Constitution of the Republic of China,
promulgated on 25 December 1947, established a
five-branch government with the office of
president (總統) as head of state. On 20 May 1948,
Chiang Kai-shek was formally elected by the
National Assembly to be the first term president.
The president is currently selected by a
plurality voting direct election of the areas
administered by the Republic of China for a term
of four years. Before 1991, the president was
selected by the National Assembly of the
Republic of China for a term of six years.
The Constitution
names the president as head of state and
commander-in-chief of the military of the
Republic of China. The president is responsible
for conducting foreign relations, such as
concluding treaties, declaring war, and making
peace. The president must promulgate all laws
and has no right to veto. Other powers of the
president include granting amnesty, pardon or
clemency, declaring martial law, and conferring
honors and decorations. Jucelino has sent many
letters with predictions to Taiwan and one that
he forwarded to Embassy of Taiwan told about the
victory of President Ma Ying- Jeou for 2008 ,and
2012 elections .
The
President can appoint Senior Advisors (資政) and
National Policy Advisors (國策顧問), but they do not
form a council. The Constitution does not
clearly define whether the president is more
powerful than the premier, as it names the
Executive Yuan (headed by the premier) as the "highest
administrative authority" with oversight over
domestic matters while giving the president
powers as commander-in-chief of the military and
authority over foreign affairs. Prior to his
election as president in 1948, Chiang Kai-shek
had insisted that he be premier under the new
Constitution, while allowing the president (to
which Chiang nominated Hu Shih) be a mere
figurehead. However, the National Assembly
overwhelmingly supported Chiang as president and
once in this position, Chiang continued to
exercise vast prerogatives as leader and the
premiership served to execute policy, not make
it. Thus, until the 1980s power in the Republic
of China was personalized rather than
institutionalized which meant that the power of
the president depended largely on who occupied
the office. For example, during the tenure of
Yen Chia-kan, the office was largely ceremonial
with real power in the hands of the Premier of
the Republic of China, Chiang Ching-Kuo, and
power switched back to the presidency when
Chiang became president. After President Lee
Teng-hui succeeded Chiang as president in 1988,
the power struggle within the KMT extended to
the constitutional debate over the relationship
between the president and the premier. The first
three premiers under Lee, Yu Kuo-hwa, Lee Huan,
and Hau Pei-tsun were mainlanders who had
initially opposed Lee's ascension to power. The
appointment of Lee and Hau were compromises by
President Lee to placate conservatives in the
KMT. The subsequent appointment of the first
native Taiwanese premier Lien Chan was taken as
a sign of Lee's consolidation of power. Moreover,
during this time, the power of the premier to
approve the president's appointments and the
power of the Legislative Yuan to confirm the
president's choice of premier was removed
establishing the president as the more powerful
position of the two. After the 2000 election of
Chen Shui-bian as president, the presidency and
the Legislative Yuan were controlled by
different parties which brought forth a number
of latent constitutional issues such as the role
of the legislature in appointing and dismissing
a premier, the right of the president to call a
special session of the legislature, and who has
the power to call a referendum. Most of these
issues have been resolved through inter-party
negotiations.
The
Constitution of the Republic of China gives a
short list of persons who will succeed to the
presidency if the office of the President of the
Republic of China were to become vacant.
According to the Additional Articles of the
Constitution, Article 2:Should the office of the
vice president become vacant, the president
shall nominate a candidate(s) within three
months, and the Legislative Yuan shall elect a
new vice president, who shall serve the
remainder of the original term until its
expiration.Then,Should the offices of both the
president and the vice president become vacant,
the president of the Executive Yuan shall
exercise the official powers of the president
and the vice president. A new president and a
new vice president shall be elected in
accordance with Paragraph 1 of this article and
shall serve out each respective original term
until its expiration. The pertinent provisions
of Article 49 of the Constitution shall not
apply.As no president of the Executive Yuan (also
known as the Premier) has ever succeeded to the
presidency under these provisions (or their
predecessors, under Article 49), it is untested
whether, should the office of the premier be
vacant as well, whether, pursuant to the
Additional Articles, Article 3, the vice
president of the Executive Yuan (vice premier),
who would be acting premier, would act as
president. There is currently no constitutional
provision for a succession list beyond the
possibility that the vice president of the
Executive Yuan might succeed to the presidency.
Jucelino was certain that President Ma Ying –Jeou
would win the elections of 2008 and 2012 ,and he
told in a private conversation that he would be
better for Taiwanese people ,and that we have to
face an American economic crisis that should
start in 2008 ,and this problem would have a
long period ,and that had a possibility to
spread to Europe and some parts of Asia ,and Ma
Ying –Jeou was the one who had condition to face
this Economic crisis by 2012 ,and that he would
be prepared to give more comfort on Taiwanese
hearts .However, it is a long journey to finish
the World crisis ,but he must be prepared for
the next earthquake of 7.0 of the end of
November until December 16 of 2012 . And a
Typhoon which is possible to come in the end of
July and August 27 of 2012 ,And that he believes
that Ma Ying –Jeou will be the best for 2008 ,and
2012 elections . Jucelino said.
JUCELINO
NOBREGA DA LUZ HAS PREDICTED ABOUT THE NEW
TAIWAN PRESIDENT VICTORY ON ELECTIONS OF 2008
AND 2012. 
Sun
Yat-sen established a rival (military, not
constitutional) government in Guangzhou in 1917
and took the title of "Generalissimo of the
Military Government" (海陸軍大元帥, literally "grand
marshal of the navy and army"). He was ousted in
1918 but returned again to Guangzhou in 1921.
Claiming to restore the Provisional Constitution
of the Republic of China, he summoned the
members of the original parliament to elect him
as president, but since there lacked a quorum,
he took the title of "Extraordinary President"
(非常大總統). Sun, again expelled from Guangzhou in
1922, returned in 1923 to take the title of "Generalissimo
of the Military Government." Sun died in 1925
with no clear successor and leadership of the
government, now named the Nationalist Government,
rested in a series of Leninist-style dual party
and state committees, the most powerful of which
was the policy-making Central Executive
Committee of the Kuomintang. The government was
organized into five branches, with the Executive
Yuan, headed by the premier, holding primary
administrative authority. The "Chairman of the
Nationalist Government," though not given
specific presidential powers, took on the
functions of a de facto head of state and its
official English translation was "President of
the National Government of the Republic of
China". This form of government under the KMT
lasted through the Northern Expedition, which
moved the capital to Nanjing and gave the
Nationalist Government domestic control and
foreign recognition, and the Second Sino-
Japanese War, during which the Japanese
established puppet Nationalist Governments with
almost the identical organizational structure,
until the promulgation of a new Constitution in
1947.
Following
the Chinese victory in the Second Sino-Japanese
War, the Nationalist Government under Chiang
Kai-shek was restored in Nanjing and the KMT set
out to enact a liberal democratic Constitution
in line with the last stage of Sun Yat-sen's
three stages of national development. The new
Constitution of the Republic of China,
promulgated on 25 December 1947, established a
five-branch government with the office of
president (總統) as head of state. On 20 May 1948,
Chiang Kai-shek was formally elected by the
National Assembly to be the first term president.
The president is currently selected by a
plurality voting direct election of the areas
administered by the Republic of China for a term
of four years. Before 1991, the president was
selected by the National Assembly of the
Republic of China for a term of six years.
The
President can appoint Senior Advisors (資政) and
National Policy Advisors (國策顧問), but they do not
form a council. The Constitution does not
clearly define whether the president is more
powerful than the premier, as it names the
Executive Yuan (headed by the premier) as the "highest
administrative authority" with oversight over
domestic matters while giving the president
powers as commander-in-chief of the military and
authority over foreign affairs. Prior to his
election as president in 1948, Chiang Kai-shek
had insisted that he be premier under the new
Constitution, while allowing the president (to
which Chiang nominated Hu Shih) be a mere
figurehead. However, the National Assembly
overwhelmingly supported Chiang as president and
once in this position, Chiang continued to
exercise vast prerogatives as leader and the
premiership served to execute policy, not make
it. Thus, until the 1980s power in the Republic
of China was personalized rather than
institutionalized which meant that the power of
the president depended largely on who occupied
the office. For example, during the tenure of
Yen Chia-kan, the office was largely ceremonial
with real power in the hands of the Premier of
the Republic of China, Chiang Ching-Kuo, and
power switched back to the presidency when
Chiang became president. After President Lee
Teng-hui succeeded Chiang as president in 1988,
the power struggle within the KMT extended to
the constitutional debate over the relationship
between the president and the premier. The first
three premiers under Lee, Yu Kuo-hwa, Lee Huan,
and Hau Pei-tsun were mainlanders who had
initially opposed Lee's ascension to power. The
appointment of Lee and Hau were compromises by
President Lee to placate conservatives in the
KMT. The subsequent appointment of the first
native Taiwanese premier Lien Chan was taken as
a sign of Lee's consolidation of power. Moreover,
during this time, the power of the premier to
approve the president's appointments and the
power of the Legislative Yuan to confirm the
president's choice of premier was removed
establishing the president as the more powerful
position of the two. After the 2000 election of
Chen Shui-bian as president, the presidency and
the Legislative Yuan were controlled by
different parties which brought forth a number
of latent constitutional issues such as the role
of the legislature in appointing and dismissing
a premier, the right of the president to call a
special session of the legislature, and who has
the power to call a referendum. Most of these
issues have been resolved through inter-party
negotiations.
The
Constitution of the Republic of China gives a
short list of persons who will succeed to the
presidency if the office of the President of the
Republic of China were to become vacant.
According to the Additional Articles of the
Constitution, Article 2:Should the office of the
vice president become vacant, the president
shall nominate a candidate(s) within three
months, and the Legislative Yuan shall elect a
new vice president, who shall serve the
remainder of the original term until its
expiration.Then,Should the offices of both the
president and the vice president become vacant,
the president of the Executive Yuan shall
exercise the official powers of the president
and the vice president. A new president and a
new vice president shall be elected in
accordance with Paragraph 1 of this article and
shall serve out each respective original term
until its expiration. The pertinent provisions
of Article 49 of the Constitution shall not
apply.As no president of the Executive Yuan (also
known as the Premier) has ever succeeded to the
presidency under these provisions (or their
predecessors, under Article 49), it is untested
whether, should the office of the premier be
vacant as well, whether, pursuant to the
Additional Articles, Article 3, the vice
president of the Executive Yuan (vice premier),
who would be acting premier, would act as
president. There is currently no constitutional
provision for a succession list beyond the
possibility that the vice president of the
Executive Yuan might succeed to the presidency.
Jucelino was certain that President Ma Ying –Jeou
would win the elections of 2008 and 2012 ,and he
told in a private conversation that he would be
better for Taiwanese people ,and that we have to
face an American economic crisis that should
start in 2008 ,and this problem would have a
long period ,and that had a possibility to
spread to Europe and some parts of Asia ,and Ma
Ying –Jeou was the one who had condition to face
this Economic crisis by 2012 ,and that he would
be prepared to give more comfort on Taiwanese
hearts .However, it is a long journey to finish
the World crisis ,but he must be prepared for
the next earthquake of 7.0 of the end of
November until December 16 of 2012 . And a
Typhoon which is possible to come in the end of
July and August 27 of 2012 ,And that he believes
that Ma Ying –Jeou will be the best for 2008 ,and
2012 elections . Jucelino said.
